Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.585879 4.139417 4.747763 5.465662 6.289455 7.204997 8.299581
2025-01-05 2.860271 3.594711 4.469978 5.588899 6.980495 8.653628 10.817837
2025-01-12 2.292904 3.103554 4.140242 5.560897 7.455236 9.892660 13.266485
2025-01-19 1.783731 2.580917 3.666996 5.250894 7.498410 10.570161 15.085644
2025-01-26 1.559158 2.394567 3.598822 5.455110 8.238637 12.251757 18.473155
2025-02-02 1.424024 2.308483 3.650272 5.824710 9.251606 14.435358 22.864223
2025-02-09 1.258991 2.145921 3.556670 5.951192 9.902211 16.148993 26.761797
2025-02-16 1.112761 1.987384 3.441158 6.017106 10.452196 17.756990 30.680282
2025-02-23 0.953933 1.780827 3.213712 5.857904 10.596814 18.708228 33.615426
2025-03-02 0.805399 1.568132 2.943111 5.580028 10.488655 19.201450 35.799212
2025-03-09 0.723661 1.465322 2.852402 5.609452 10.925630 20.684847 39.904061
2025-03-16 0.632787 1.330798 2.683419 5.466364 11.017454 21.542920 42.942888
2025-03-23 0.600794 1.311675 2.738309 5.774995 12.037466 24.294901 50.008055
2025-03-30 0.560852 1.270170 2.743256 5.984693 12.890316 26.831217 56.979723
2025-04-06 0.507486 1.191551 2.660866 6.001261 13.348386 28.636970 62.699822
2025-04-13 0.434479 1.057616 2.441849 5.692935 13.074439 28.904498 65.233191
2025-04-20 0.411859 1.036370 2.467176 5.929499 14.022726 31.864201 73.931454
2025-04-27 0.402692 1.045789 2.563054 6.340149 15.416079 35.952883 85.629981
2025-05-04 0.376622 1.009403 2.546692 6.483300 16.205860 38.784082 94.804936
2025-05-11 0.349122 0.965041 2.504853 6.558342 16.841572 41.333590 103.626233
2025-05-18 0.311541 0.888225 2.371904 6.387039 16.849436 42.405142 109.027455
2025-05-25 0.272253 0.800367 2.198186 6.085665 16.486722 42.532600 112.103670
2025-06-01 0.252440 0.763734 2.153447 6.118312 16.991502 44.858920 121.001339